I was close to tears as the results were coming in, I couldn’t believe what I was watching, I felt the world was ready for a woman President. I knew within me that the most qualified Presidential candidate ever was Hillary Clinton. Results from Ohio, Florida, Michigan et al shocked me.
This made me think and set myself for a moment of a sober reflection. Why did Donald Trump (a complete outlier) win?
Some reasons popped inside my head.
- Silent Trump vote
There really was a silent Trump vote that the polls failed to pick up on. The nationwide polling average gave Clinton about a 3-point lead overall, and the state-by-state polls indicated that she would win at least 300 electoral votes but the polls were as wrong as the pundits. Obviously, showing problems with the polls’ methodologies.
It seems equally reasonable to conclude that many Trump voters kept their intentions to themselves and refused to cooperate with the pollsters.
The extraordinary role of FBI Director James Comey in the presidential campaign cannot be underestimated either. Two weeks ago Clinton seemed on the verge of winning a double-digit victory but Comey’s Oct. 28 letter to congress which announced that the FBI was reopening its investigation into Clinton’s State Department emails, changed the momentum of the race. Clinton retook the polling lead at the end of last week, but the final polls masked the lasting damage that the Comey letter had done to her campaign.
Whatever the ultimate explanation for the polls’ failure to predict the election’s outcome, the future of the polling industry is in question after Tuesday. Trump’s astounding victory demonstrated that the polls simply cannot be trusted.
- Celebrity beat organization
A longstanding assumption of political campaigns is that a first-rate “Get out the Vote” organization is indispensable. The conventional wisdom in 2016 thus held that Trump’s lack of a grassroots organization was a huge liability for his campaign but as it turned out, he didn’t need an organization. Trump has been in the public eye for over 30 years, which meant that he entered the race with nearly 100 percent name recognition. Trump’s longstanding status as a celebrity enabled him to garner relentless media attention from the moment he entered the race.
One study found that by May 2016 Trump had received the equivalent of US$3 billion in free advertising from the media coverage his campaign commanded. Trump seemed to intuitively understand that the controversial things he said on the campaign trail captured the voters’ attention in a way that serious policy speeches never could.
Most important of all, he had highly motivated voters. Trump’s populist rhetoric and open contempt for civility and basic standards of decency enabled him to connect with the Republican base like no candidate since Ronald Reagan. Trump didn’t play by the normal rules of politics, and his voters loved him for it.
Trump’s victory would seem to herald a new era of celebrity politicians. He showed that a charismatic media-savvy outsider has significant advantages over traditional politicians and conventional political organizations in the internet age. In the future, we may see many more unconventional politicians in the Trump mold.
- Populist revolt against immigration and trade
It will take days to sort through the data to figure out what issues resonated mostly deeply with Trump’s base.
However, immigration and trade seem virtually certain to be at the top of the list. Trump bet his whole campaign on the idea that popular hostility to liberal immigration and free trade policies would propel him to the White House.
From the beginning to the end of his campaign, he returned time and again to those two cornerstone issues. In his announcement speech, he promised to build a wall on the Mexican border and deport 11 million unauthorized immigrants. He also pledged to tear up free trade agreements and bring back manufacturing jobs. From day one, he made xenophobic and nationalistic policies the centerpiece of his campaign.
Critics rightfully condemned his vicious attacks on Mexicans and Muslims, but Trump clearly understood that hostility toward immigration and globalization ran deep among a critical mass of American voters.
His decision to focus on immigration and trade paid off in spades on Election Day. It’s no coincidence that Trump did exceptionally well in the traditionally blue states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, all of which have large populations of white working-class voters. Previous Republican nominees such as John McCain, who embraced generous immigration policies, and Mitt Romney, who advocated free trade, never managed to connect with blue-collar voters in the Great Lakes region.
Trump’s anti-immigration and protectionist trade policies gave him a unique opening with white working-class voters, and he made most of it.
- Outsiders against insiders
Trump will be the first president without elective office experience since Dwight Eisenhower in the 1950s. Eisenhower, however, served as supreme allied commander in Europe during World War II and had unrivaled expertise in foreign affairs.
So how did Trump make his lack of government experience an asset in the campaign?
The answer lay in the intense and widespread public hostility to the political, media and business establishments that lead the country. Trust in institutions is at an all-time low and a majority of Americans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction. The angry and volatile public mood made 2016 the ultimate change election.
Amid such a potent anti-establishment spirit, Trump’ vulgar (the most populous being ‘ grab em by the pussy) , intemperate and unorthodox style struck voters as far more genuine than the highly cautious and controlled Hillary Clinton. As the brash and unpredictable Trump positioned himself as an agent of change, Clinton seemed like the establishment’s candidate, an impression that proved fatal to her campaign. Indeed, Trump used Clinton’s deep experience in the White House, Senate and State Department against her by citing it as evidence that she represented the status quo.
Ironically, Bill Clinton won the White House 24 years ago using a similar anti-establishment strategy. In the 1992 election, he successfully depicted incumbent President George H. W. Bush as an out-of-touch elitist. Eight years later Bush’s son, George W. Bush, employed the same tactic to defeat Vice President Al Gore. And in 2008 Barack Obama successfully ran as an outsider against John McCain.
Trump is thus the fourth consecutive president to win the White House by running as an “outsider” candidate. That is a lesson that future presidential candidates forget at their peril.
Donald Trump has won. The world must move on, it is a hard pill to swallow but we have no option other than to support the incoming President.
God bless Nigeria!
God bless America!!
God bless the world!!!
Jake Corleone, single, is a financial and political analyst. His twitter handle is @hitee_
리액툰즈
Hongzhi 황제는 눈을 들어 플랫폼을 보았습니다. — “Baihualou-Xincheng Terminus”
카이센 윈즈
황 박사는 계속해서 큰 소리로 심장을 뛰었다.
슈가 러쉬 X마스
Wu Xiong은 떨리며 입술이 떨렸다. “이… 이…”
EGGC
Hongzhi 황제는 그를 더욱 빤히 바라보며 “아, 얼마나 끔찍해 …”라고 말했습니다.
판다스 포춘
이것은 농담이 아닙니다. 적어도 지금은 아무도 웃을 수 없습니다.
마종 웨이즈
Wang Shouren은 미소를 지으며 말했습니다. “Zhu Xiucai, 말해봐.”
프라그마틱 슬롯
모두가 수다를 떨고 있었지만 많은 사람들이 신이 나서 일어섰습니다.
판다스 포춘
모두들 급히 소리를 질렀고 너무 화가 나서 피를 토할 지경이었습니다.
트레져스 오브 아즈텍
비정상적인 것이 악마라는 전설이 아닐까요?
에그벳300
그들은 함께 Liu Jian에게 절했습니다. “Liu 씨, 지시를 내리십시오.”
무료 슬롯
“예.” Fang Jifan이 말했습니다. “편지는 모두 보냈습니다.”
황제 슬롯
눈구멍이 빨개지고 눈물이 왈칵 쏟아지는 것 같았다.
라이즈 오브 올림푸스 100
Liu Jian의 얼굴이 진지해졌고 그는 “무슨 체스? “라고 말했습니다.
돌리고 슬롯
이 세상에는 정말 도둑이 도둑질하는 것을 두려워하지 말고 도둑이 생각하는 것을 두려워하라는 말이 있습니다.
온라인 슬롯
각 부처의 지도자들은 어차피 황제를 본 적이 없는데 어떻게 할 수 있겠습니까?
리액툰즈
속으로 은밀히 생각하고 있었는데 왕부시가 다시 말하는 것을 들었다.
79 슬롯
당신이 비를 위해 기도하면 사람들은 당신이 터무니없다고 생각할 것입니다.
골드 킹
때로는 침묵하고, 때로는 눈살을 찌푸리며, 때로는 낮은 목소리로 책을 읽었다.
마블 슬롯
그러나 Zhu Houzhao와 Fang Jifan은 황제를 보았을 때 갑자기 … 기절했습니다.
슬롯 꽁 머니
Anxi County의 왕 Zhu Biao는 복잡한 생각을 가지고 있었지만 계속 그렇다고 말했습니다.
가네샤 골드
그들은 전쟁에서 유용하지 않을 수 있지만 모두 훈련에 능숙합니다.
아리아나 슬롯
Hongzhi 황제는 “저를 내려 놓으십시오. 나는 걸어서 궁전에 들어갈 것입니다. “라고 말했습니다.
https://www.metooo.it/u/665bd6700c59a922425c12a3
스포츠 배당 사이트
이게 황제야, 뭐야, 황제야, 그리고 그는 아직 살아있어.
합법 토토
그는 눈을 크게 뜨고 “팡…팡 지판…”이라고 말하지 않을 수 없었다.
맥심 슬롯
야탕에서 일어난 모든 일을 바라보며 모두 숨을 멈췄다.
mvp 토토 사이트
말을 하는 사람은 전에도 침묵을 지켰지만 무시할 수 없는 사람이었다.
와이즈 토토 커뮤니티
Zhu Houcong에게 문제가 있다면… 그는 멸종될 것입니다.
맘벳
그는 단지 자신이 옳고 항상 옳을 것임을 다른 사람들에게 증명하기를 원할 뿐입니다.
바이 낸스 토토
그 과정에서 그는 실제로 많은 학자들을 보았습니다.
슬롯 보증 사이트
말하는 동안 Fang Jifan은 미소를 지었지만 소매에서 큰 그림 두루마리를 꺼냈습니다.
무료 메가 슬롯 머신
그는 미소를 지으며 “시암에서 무슨 일이 있었는데 오늘 아침에 보냈습니다.”라고 말했습니다.
아바타 슬롯
Zhu Chengdao : “Li Shilang, 이것은 … 어떤 기념관을 작성해야할지 모르겠습니다.”
슬롯 쿠폰
“왕 부시, 당신은 … 자신을 성자의 제자라고 부르는 것은 행운입니다!”
토르 인니티니티 릴스
그의 눈은 빨개졌고 그는 생각하는 것을 도울 수 없었습니다. 나는 이 도둑들의 10개 씨족을 처벌하고 싶다!
79 슬롯
그러나 이때 외부에서 “폐하가 여기 있습니다. “라는 음성이 들렸습니다.관리들의 반대는 그를 화나게 하고 걱정하게 만들었다.
케이 슬롯
수많은 사람들이 손에 들고 있는 대명권이 폐지가 될까 봐 걱정하고 있습니다.